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Definitive Analysis

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Wuxi Sunlit Science and Technology Company Limited (1289.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$57.24 - $144.32$135.25
Multi-Stage$20.78 - $22.76$21.75
Blended Fair Value$78.50
Current Price$1.73
Upside4,437.43%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.86%0.00%0.080.080.000.050.000.050.050.050.000.15
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--6.56%12.26%0.00%6.46%0.00%4.10%3.09%2.43%0.00%3.84%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)92.91
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)20.48
(=) Cash Retained (M)72.43
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)18.5811.616.97
Cash Retained (M)72.4372.4372.43
(-) Cash Required (M)-18.58-11.61-6.97
(=) Excess Retained (M)53.8560.8265.46
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)128.00128.00128.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.420.480.51
LTM Dividend per Share0.160.160.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.420.480.51
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.580.640.67
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.47%6.47%7.47%
Fair Value$57.24$135.25$144.32
Upside / Downside3,208.45%7,717.70%8,242.05%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)92.9198.92105.32112.14119.39127.12130.93
Payout Ratio22.04%35.63%49.23%62.82%76.41%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)20.4835.2551.8570.4491.23114.40121.11

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.47%6.47%7.47%
Year 1 PV (M)32.7833.0933.40
Year 2 PV (M)44.8245.6846.54
Year 3 PV (M)56.6258.2559.91
Year 4 PV (M)68.1870.8173.50
Year 5 PV (M)79.5083.3587.33
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,377.822,492.702,611.98
Equity Value (M)2,659.732,783.872,912.66
Shares Outstanding (M)128.00128.00128.00
Fair Value$20.78$21.75$22.76
Upside / Downside1,101.11%1,157.17%1,215.33%

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