Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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AMMB Holdings Berhad (1015.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.45 - $10.29$8.19
Multi-Stage$11.92 - $13.09$12.49
Blended Fair Value$10.34
Current Price$5.65
Upside83.04%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS7.04%0.21%0.270.180.110.000.070.190.140.160.140.19
YoY Growth--46.95%66.19%0.00%-100.00%-65.29%40.00%-14.77%13.55%-23.65%-29.76%
Dividend Yield--5.28%4.28%3.04%0.00%2.25%6.16%3.17%4.28%2.90%4.17%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,051.18
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)998.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,053.18
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)410.24256.40153.84
Cash Retained (M)1,053.181,053.181,053.18
(-) Cash Required (M)-410.24-256.40-153.84
(=) Excess Retained (M)642.94796.78899.34
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,305.513,305.513,305.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.190.240.27
LTM Dividend per Share0.300.300.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.190.240.27
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.500.540.57
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate-0.62%0.38%1.38%
Fair Value$6.45$8.19$10.29
Upside / Downside14.09%44.99%82.18%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,051.182,058.992,066.832,074.712,082.612,090.552,153.27
Payout Ratio48.65%56.92%65.19%73.46%81.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)998.001,172.061,347.431,524.121,702.141,881.491,991.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate-0.62%0.38%1.38%
Year 1 PV (M)1,084.121,095.031,105.94
Year 2 PV (M)1,152.821,176.141,199.69
Year 3 PV (M)1,206.161,242.941,280.45
Year 4 PV (M)1,245.971,296.881,349.34
Year 5 PV (M)1,273.921,339.321,407.37
PV of Terminal Value (M)33,426.3335,142.2436,927.91
Equity Value (M)39,389.3241,292.5543,270.70
Shares Outstanding (M)3,305.513,305.513,305.51
Fair Value$11.92$12.49$13.09
Upside / Downside110.91%121.10%131.69%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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