Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Sika AG (0Z4C.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$721.82 - $3,036.74$1,811.66
Multi-Stage$357.60 - $391.34$374.16
Blended Fair Value$1,092.91
Current Price$215.40
Upside407.39%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-1.85%6.23%1.653.072.782.212.031.811.761.521.231.14
YoY Growth---46.23%10.43%25.75%8.74%12.18%3.12%15.63%23.08%8.32%26.42%
Dividend Yield--0.76%1.12%1.25%0.58%0.84%1.00%1.44%1.18%1.52%1.90%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,450.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)553.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,896.70
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)490.04306.28183.77
Cash Retained (M)1,896.701,896.701,896.70
(-) Cash Required (M)-490.04-306.28-183.77
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,406.661,590.431,712.94
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)160.46160.46160.46
(=) Excess Retained per Share8.779.9110.67
LTM Dividend per Share3.453.453.45
(+) Excess Retained per Share8.779.9110.67
(=) Adjusted Dividend12.2213.3614.12
WACC / Discount Rate7.29%7.29%7.29%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$721.82$1,811.66$3,036.74
Upside / Downside235.10%741.07%1,309.81%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,450.202,609.462,779.082,959.723,152.103,356.993,457.70
Payout Ratio22.59%36.07%49.55%63.04%76.52%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)553.50941.291,377.141,865.692,411.923,021.293,198.37

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.29%7.29%7.29%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)869.13877.37885.60
Year 2 PV (M)1,174.101,196.461,219.03
Year 3 PV (M)1,468.671,510.831,553.79
Year 4 PV (M)1,753.121,820.541,889.89
Year 5 PV (M)2,027.692,125.632,227.32
PV of Terminal Value (M)50,089.2352,508.5655,020.49
Equity Value (M)57,381.9560,039.4062,796.12
Shares Outstanding (M)160.46160.46160.46
Fair Value$357.60$374.16$391.34
Upside / Downside66.02%73.71%81.68%

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