Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Bank of Montreal (0UKH.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: BanksSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$943.56 - $2,394.73$2,244.21
Multi-Stage$349.80 - $382.56$365.88
Blended Fair Value$1,305.05
Current Price$179.96
Upside625.19%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS15.24%8.95%6.965.313.743.594.123.423.813.572.783.07
YoY Growth--31.02%42.06%4.16%-12.92%20.40%-10.07%6.58%28.46%-9.42%3.93%
Dividend Yield--3.87%3.66%2.92%2.70%2.87%3.20%3.67%3.92%2.71%2.94%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)8,709.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5,031.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,678.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,741.801,088.63653.18
Cash Retained (M)3,678.003,678.003,678.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,741.80-1,088.63-653.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,936.202,589.383,024.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)723.26723.26723.26
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.683.584.18
LTM Dividend per Share6.966.966.96
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.683.584.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend9.6310.5411.14
WACC / Discount Rate6.58%6.58%6.58%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$943.56$2,244.21$2,394.73
Upside / Downside424.32%1,147.06%1,230.70%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)8,709.009,275.099,877.9710,520.0311,203.8411,932.0812,290.05
Payout Ratio57.77%64.21%70.66%77.11%83.55%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5,031.005,955.936,979.848,111.709,361.2010,738.8811,368.29

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.58%6.58%6.58%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)5,535.905,588.385,640.85
Year 2 PV (M)6,030.096,144.946,260.88
Year 3 PV (M)6,513.716,700.706,891.23
Year 4 PV (M)6,986.957,255.657,532.03
Year 5 PV (M)7,449.967,809.808,183.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)220,476.04231,125.11242,181.75
Equity Value (M)252,992.65264,624.58276,690.14
Shares Outstanding (M)723.26723.26723.26
Fair Value$349.80$365.88$382.56
Upside / Downside94.37%103.31%112.58%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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