Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Rai Way S.p.A. (0R40.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Media & EntertainmentSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$15.41 - $66.02$37.83
Multi-Stage$9.61 - $10.51$10.05
Blended Fair Value$23.94
Current Price$6.01
Upside298.33%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.69%22.73%0.320.270.240.240.240.220.200.160.140.12
YoY Growth--17.16%13.19%1.85%1.10%6.06%8.39%31.84%7.31%16.04%200.98%
Dividend Yield--5.54%5.36%4.35%4.17%4.88%4.88%4.37%3.42%3.00%2.64%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)90.03
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)89.67
(=) Cash Retained (M)0.36
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)18.0111.256.75
Cash Retained (M)0.360.360.36
(-) Cash Required (M)-18.01-11.25-6.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)-17.65-10.90-6.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)269.40269.40269.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.07-0.04-0.02
LTM Dividend per Share0.330.330.33
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.07-0.04-0.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.270.290.31
WACC / Discount Rate6.60%6.60%6.60%
Growth Rate4.78%5.78%6.78%
Fair Value$15.41$37.83$66.02
Upside / Downside156.43%529.41%998.44%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)90.0395.23100.74106.56112.72119.23122.81
Payout Ratio99.60%97.68%95.76%93.84%91.92%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)89.6793.0396.47100.00103.61107.31113.60

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.60%6.60%6.60%
Growth Rate4.78%5.78%6.78%
Year 1 PV (M)86.4587.2788.10
Year 2 PV (M)83.3084.9086.51
Year 3 PV (M)80.2482.5684.92
Year 4 PV (M)77.2680.2583.32
Year 5 PV (M)74.3577.9781.72
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,188.522,294.972,405.52
Equity Value (M)2,590.112,707.912,830.09
Shares Outstanding (M)269.40269.40269.40
Fair Value$9.61$10.05$10.51
Upside / Downside59.97%67.25%74.79%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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