Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Church & Dwight Co., Inc. (0R13.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Household & Personal ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$94.97 - $409.94$164.77
Multi-Stage$100.83 - $110.64$105.64
Blended Fair Value$135.21
Current Price$87.63
Upside54.29%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.33%5.16%1.121.081.031.000.960.910.860.770.740.71
YoY Growth--3.94%4.51%3.03%4.30%5.89%5.06%12.03%4.04%4.39%4.66%
Dividend Yield--1.02%1.03%1.17%1.01%1.10%1.41%1.20%1.53%1.48%1.54%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)782.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)286.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)496.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)156.5097.8158.69
Cash Retained (M)496.50496.50496.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-156.50-97.81-58.69
(=) Excess Retained (M)340.00398.69437.81
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)247.15247.15247.15
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.381.611.77
LTM Dividend per Share1.161.161.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.381.611.77
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.532.772.93
WACC / Discount Rate5.91%5.91%5.91%
Growth Rate3.16%4.16%5.16%
Fair Value$94.97$164.77$409.94
Upside / Downside8.38%88.03%367.81%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)782.50815.04848.94884.25921.03959.33988.11
Payout Ratio36.55%47.24%57.93%68.62%79.31%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)286.00385.02491.79606.77730.46863.40914.00

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.91%5.91%5.91%
Growth Rate3.16%4.16%5.16%
Year 1 PV (M)360.05363.54367.03
Year 2 PV (M)430.05438.43446.89
Year 3 PV (M)496.18510.75525.60
Year 4 PV (M)558.58580.56603.18
Year 5 PV (M)617.41647.92679.62
PV of Terminal Value (M)22,458.2623,568.1024,721.38
Equity Value (M)24,920.5426,109.3027,343.71
Shares Outstanding (M)247.15247.15247.15
Fair Value$100.83$105.64$110.64
Upside / Downside15.07%20.55%26.25%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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