Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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BKW AG (0QQ0.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: General UtilitiesSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,307.74 - $3,619.63$3,392.12
Multi-Stage$515.49 - $563.64$539.13
Blended Fair Value$1,965.63
Current Price$173.30
Upside1,034.23%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS15.63%12.42%3.724.052.602.402.201.801.951.651.501.49
YoY Growth---8.14%55.83%8.37%9.14%22.11%-7.68%18.00%10.24%0.76%28.90%
Dividend Yield--2.48%2.71%2.06%2.02%2.22%2.52%2.73%2.85%3.04%3.92%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)960.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)588.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)371.90
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)192.06120.0472.02
Cash Retained (M)371.90371.90371.90
(-) Cash Required (M)-192.06-120.04-72.02
(=) Excess Retained (M)179.84251.86299.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)52.7652.7652.76
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.414.775.68
LTM Dividend per Share11.1511.1511.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.414.775.68
(=) Adjusted Dividend14.5615.9316.84
WACC / Discount Rate6.67%6.67%6.67%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,307.74$3,392.12$3,619.63
Upside / Downside654.61%1,857.37%1,988.65%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)960.301,022.721,089.201,159.991,235.391,315.691,355.17
Payout Ratio61.27%67.02%72.76%78.51%84.25%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)588.40685.41792.54910.701,040.871,184.121,253.53

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.67%6.67%6.67%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)636.49642.52648.55
Year 2 PV (M)683.44696.46709.60
Year 3 PV (M)729.29750.23771.56
Year 4 PV (M)774.04803.81834.43
Year 5 PV (M)817.72857.22898.23
PV of Terminal Value (M)23,557.4224,695.2525,876.63
Equity Value (M)27,198.4128,445.4929,739.00
Shares Outstanding (M)52.7652.7652.76
Fair Value$515.49$539.13$563.64
Upside / Downside197.46%211.09%225.24%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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