Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Aktia Pankki Oyj (0QF8.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: BanksSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$69.56 - $176.84$165.72
Multi-Stage$26.42 - $28.86$27.62
Blended Fair Value$96.67
Current Price$9.71
Upside895.59%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.88%6.17%0.700.430.550.930.000.580.520.550.490.44
YoY Growth--63.73%-22.88%-40.43%0.00%-100.00%11.21%-5.20%11.02%12.55%14.22%
Dividend Yield--6.32%4.17%5.79%8.52%0.00%8.01%5.44%5.97%5.04%4.46%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)64.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)59.93
(=) Cash Retained (M)4.87
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)12.968.104.86
Cash Retained (M)4.874.874.87
(-) Cash Required (M)-12.96-8.10-4.86
(=) Excess Retained (M)-8.09-3.230.01
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)72.8872.8872.88
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.11-0.040.00
LTM Dividend per Share0.820.820.82
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.11-0.040.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.710.780.82
WACC / Discount Rate6.58%6.58%6.58%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$69.56$165.72$176.84
Upside / Downside616.33%1,606.73%1,721.20%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)64.8069.0173.5078.2883.3688.7891.45
Payout Ratio92.48%91.98%91.49%90.99%90.50%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)59.9363.4867.2471.2275.4479.9084.59

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.58%6.58%6.58%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)59.0059.5660.12
Year 2 PV (M)58.0959.2060.31
Year 3 PV (M)57.1958.8360.50
Year 4 PV (M)56.3058.4760.69
Year 5 PV (M)55.4358.1060.88
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,639.471,718.651,800.87
Equity Value (M)1,925.482,012.812,103.39
Shares Outstanding (M)72.8872.8872.88
Fair Value$26.42$27.62$28.86
Upside / Downside172.11%184.45%197.25%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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