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Definitive Analysis

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DNB Bank ASA (0O84.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,718.57 - $6,201.62$5,467.97
Multi-Stage$799.51 - $874.00$836.08
Blended Fair Value$3,152.02
Current Price$187.15
Upside1,584.22%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS12.94%19.45%17.4813.8010.8618.741.069.518.296.725.274.21
YoY Growth--26.67%27.02%-42.04%1,668.19%-88.85%14.71%23.32%27.56%25.26%42.43%
Dividend Yield--9.34%7.37%5.81%9.14%0.55%4.95%4.31%3.50%2.74%2.19%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)46,422.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)25,981.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)20,441.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9,284.405,802.753,481.65
Cash Retained (M)20,441.0020,441.0020,441.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-9,284.40-5,802.75-3,481.65
(=) Excess Retained (M)11,156.6014,638.2516,959.35
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,488.671,488.671,488.67
(=) Excess Retained per Share7.499.8311.39
LTM Dividend per Share17.4517.4517.45
(+) Excess Retained per Share7.499.8311.39
(=) Adjusted Dividend24.9527.2928.84
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$1,718.57$5,467.97$6,201.62
Upside / Downside818.28%2,821.70%3,213.72%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)46,422.0049,439.4352,652.9956,075.4459,720.3463,602.1665,510.23
Payout Ratio55.97%62.77%69.58%76.39%83.19%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)25,981.0031,034.9136,636.0642,834.2349,683.3857,241.9560,596.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)28,723.8028,996.0729,268.33
Year 2 PV (M)31,382.8031,980.5532,583.95
Year 3 PV (M)33,959.8234,934.6935,928.03
Year 4 PV (M)36,456.6737,858.6939,300.77
Year 5 PV (M)38,875.1240,752.8042,702.35
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,020,816.511,070,122.331,121,315.20
Equity Value (M)1,190,214.731,244,645.141,301,098.63
Shares Outstanding (M)1,488.671,488.671,488.67
Fair Value$799.51$836.08$874.00
Upside / Downside327.21%346.74%367.00%

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