Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Esprinet S.p.A. (0NFS.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.27 - $6.80$5.42
Multi-Stage$8.93 - $9.79$9.35
Blended Fair Value$7.39
Current Price$5.88
Upside25.62%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.550.500.540.000.140.140.140.150.13
YoY Growth---100.00%8.74%-6.14%0.00%-100.00%-0.97%0.00%-10.01%21.26%40.45%
Dividend Yield--0.00%10.39%5.46%5.57%0.00%4.23%4.27%3.16%1.92%1.59%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)21.09
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)19.76
(=) Cash Retained (M)1.32
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4.222.641.58
Cash Retained (M)1.321.321.32
(-) Cash Required (M)-4.22-2.64-1.58
(=) Excess Retained (M)-2.89-1.31-0.26
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)50.7850.7850.78
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.06-0.03-0.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.390.390.39
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.06-0.03-0.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.330.360.38
WACC / Discount Rate6.68%6.68%6.68%
Growth Rate-1.02%-0.02%0.98%
Fair Value$4.27$5.42$6.80
Upside / Downside-27.39%-7.81%15.70%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)21.0921.0821.0821.0721.0721.0621.69
Payout Ratio93.72%92.98%92.23%91.49%90.74%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)19.7619.6019.4419.2819.1218.9520.07

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.68%6.68%6.68%
Growth Rate-1.02%-0.02%0.98%
Year 1 PV (M)18.1918.3718.56
Year 2 PV (M)16.7417.0817.43
Year 3 PV (M)15.4115.8816.36
Year 4 PV (M)14.1814.7615.36
Year 5 PV (M)13.0513.7214.42
PV of Terminal Value (M)375.73395.10415.26
Equity Value (M)453.30474.92497.39
Shares Outstanding (M)50.7850.7850.78
Fair Value$8.93$9.35$9.79
Upside / Downside51.80%59.04%66.57%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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