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Definitive Analysis

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MetLife, Inc. (0K0X.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Insurance - DiversifiedSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$41.62 - $60.60$50.80
Multi-Stage$79.18 - $87.04$83.03
Blended Fair Value$66.92
Current Price$81.40
Upside-17.79%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-3.46%-0.60%2.242.302.612.702.722.672.672.672.702.59
YoY Growth---2.49%-12.17%-3.20%-0.91%2.09%0.11%-0.05%-1.03%3.96%9.13%
Dividend Yield--2.81%3.12%4.53%3.79%4.47%8.54%6.08%5.81%5.05%4.86%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,841.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,578.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,263.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)768.20480.13288.08
Cash Retained (M)2,263.002,263.002,263.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-768.20-480.13-288.08
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,494.801,782.881,974.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)682.25682.25682.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.192.612.89
LTM Dividend per Share2.312.312.31
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.192.612.89
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.504.935.21
WACC / Discount Rate7.95%7.95%7.95%
Growth Rate-2.60%-1.60%-0.60%
Fair Value$41.62$50.80$60.60
Upside / Downside-48.88%-37.59%-25.55%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,841.003,779.713,719.403,660.063,601.663,544.193,650.51
Payout Ratio41.08%50.87%60.65%70.43%80.22%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,578.001,922.612,255.812,577.902,889.133,189.773,376.73

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.95%7.95%7.95%
Growth Rate-2.60%-1.60%-0.60%
Year 1 PV (M)1,762.981,781.081,799.18
Year 2 PV (M)1,896.781,935.921,975.47
Year 3 PV (M)1,987.632,049.482,112.60
Year 4 PV (M)2,042.652,127.832,215.65
Year 5 PV (M)2,067.962,176.322,289.17
PV of Terminal Value (M)44,259.6546,578.7348,994.02
Equity Value (M)54,017.6456,649.3659,386.09
Shares Outstanding (M)682.25682.25682.25
Fair Value$79.18$83.03$87.04
Upside / Downside-2.73%2.01%6.93%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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