Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Sector

Lam Research Corporation (0JT5.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$66.60 - $120.35$89.02
Multi-Stage$51.94 - $56.67$54.26
Blended Fair Value$71.64
Current Price$131.09
Upside-45.35%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS11.84%25.77%0.900.800.710.640.570.510.530.240.190.15
YoY Growth--12.82%12.23%11.36%12.15%10.68%-3.17%120.52%26.33%27.88%64.06%
Dividend Yield--0.68%0.97%1.14%1.71%0.92%1.52%2.29%1.55%1.12%1.63%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5,810.43
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,180.54
(=) Cash Retained (M)4,629.90
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,162.09726.30435.78
Cash Retained (M)4,629.904,629.904,629.90
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,162.09-726.30-435.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)3,467.813,903.594,194.11
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,281.451,281.451,281.45
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.713.053.27
LTM Dividend per Share0.920.920.92
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.713.053.27
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.633.974.19
WACC / Discount Rate11.25%11.25%11.25%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$66.60$89.02$120.35
Upside / Downside-49.20%-32.09%-8.19%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5,810.436,188.116,590.347,018.717,474.937,960.808,199.62
Payout Ratio20.32%34.25%48.19%62.13%76.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,180.542,119.683,175.924,360.525,685.697,164.727,584.65

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate11.25%11.25%11.25%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,887.501,905.391,923.28
Year 2 PV (M)2,518.282,566.242,614.66
Year 3 PV (M)3,078.853,167.243,257.29
Year 4 PV (M)3,574.803,712.273,853.68
Year 5 PV (M)4,011.294,205.044,406.20
PV of Terminal Value (M)51,494.1953,981.3756,563.75
Equity Value (M)66,564.9069,537.5672,618.87
Shares Outstanding (M)1,281.451,281.451,281.45
Fair Value$51.94$54.26$56.67
Upside / Downside-60.37%-58.61%-56.77%

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