Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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ABG Sundal Collier Holding ASA (0IZM.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - DiversifiedSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$12.86 - $36.04$20.00
Multi-Stage$13.61 - $14.89$14.23
Blended Fair Value$17.12
Current Price$7.03
Upside143.47%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.52%1.52%0.450.430.820.820.360.350.610.410.490.80
YoY Growth--4.66%-47.16%-0.53%127.90%4.36%-43.46%49.52%-15.85%-39.11%105.14%
Dividend Yield--6.23%7.09%13.44%9.67%4.06%11.25%14.98%6.43%8.94%12.74%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)308.50
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)260.31
(=) Cash Retained (M)48.19
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)61.7038.5623.14
Cash Retained (M)48.1948.1948.19
(-) Cash Required (M)-61.70-38.56-23.14
(=) Excess Retained (M)-13.519.6225.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)574.23574.23574.23
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.020.020.04
LTM Dividend per Share0.450.450.45
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.020.020.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.430.470.50
WACC / Discount Rate6.79%6.79%6.79%
Growth Rate3.33%4.33%5.33%
Fair Value$12.86$20.00$36.04
Upside / Downside82.98%184.46%412.61%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)308.50321.87335.82350.37365.56381.40392.84
Payout Ratio84.38%85.50%86.63%87.75%88.88%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)260.31275.21290.91307.46324.89343.26363.38

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.79%6.79%6.79%
Growth Rate3.33%4.33%5.33%
Year 1 PV (M)255.25257.72260.19
Year 2 PV (M)250.25255.11260.03
Year 3 PV (M)245.30252.49259.82
Year 4 PV (M)240.41249.85259.57
Year 5 PV (M)235.58247.20259.27
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,586.366,911.287,248.90
Equity Value (M)7,813.138,173.658,547.77
Shares Outstanding (M)574.23574.23574.23
Fair Value$13.61$14.23$14.89
Upside / Downside93.54%102.48%111.74%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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