Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Aubay S.A. (0IPY.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$216.90 - $1,052.03$465.74
Multi-Stage$118.54 - $129.55$123.94
Blended Fair Value$294.84
Current Price$50.10
Upside488.50%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS12.36%19.02%1.211.241.300.690.620.680.520.500.370.25
YoY Growth---1.99%-4.79%88.69%11.81%-9.04%29.99%3.67%34.37%48.24%18.71%
Dividend Yield--2.69%2.93%2.66%1.10%1.79%2.02%1.85%1.43%1.41%1.37%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)68.09
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)32.41
(=) Cash Retained (M)35.68
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13.628.515.11
Cash Retained (M)35.6835.6835.68
(-) Cash Required (M)-13.62-8.51-5.11
(=) Excess Retained (M)22.0627.1730.57
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)12.8712.8712.87
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.712.112.38
LTM Dividend per Share2.522.522.52
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.712.112.38
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.234.634.89
WACC / Discount Rate7.56%7.56%7.56%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$216.90$465.74$1,052.03
Upside / Downside332.93%829.62%1,999.86%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)68.0972.5177.2382.2587.5993.2996.09
Payout Ratio47.60%56.08%64.56%73.04%81.52%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)32.4140.6749.8660.0771.4183.9688.88

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.56%7.56%7.56%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)37.4537.8138.16
Year 2 PV (M)42.2943.1043.91
Year 3 PV (M)46.9348.2849.65
Year 4 PV (M)51.3853.3555.39
Year 5 PV (M)55.6458.3261.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,292.051,354.461,419.25
Equity Value (M)1,525.741,595.321,667.48
Shares Outstanding (M)12.8712.8712.87
Fair Value$118.54$123.94$129.55
Upside / Downside136.60%147.39%158.58%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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