Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Ameren Corporation (0HE2.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: General UtilitiesSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$200.96 - $1,023.75$412.96
Multi-Stage$150.31 - $164.60$157.32
Blended Fair Value$285.14
Current Price$104.38
Upside173.17%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.63%6.23%2.642.442.252.091.821.741.661.591.541.48
YoY Growth--7.85%8.52%7.96%14.37%4.66%4.66%4.64%3.61%3.48%3.08%
Dividend Yield--2.63%3.34%2.61%2.22%2.24%2.39%2.29%2.81%2.81%2.96%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,411.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)755.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)656.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)282.20176.38105.83
Cash Retained (M)656.00656.00656.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-282.20-176.38-105.83
(=) Excess Retained (M)373.80479.63550.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)270.88270.88270.88
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.381.772.03
LTM Dividend per Share2.792.792.79
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.381.772.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.174.564.82
WACC / Discount Rate6.40%6.40%6.40%
Growth Rate4.23%5.23%6.23%
Fair Value$200.96$412.96$1,023.75
Upside / Downside92.52%295.63%880.79%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,411.001,484.851,562.571,644.351,730.421,820.991,875.62
Payout Ratio53.51%60.81%68.10%75.40%82.70%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)755.00902.891,064.181,239.891,431.081,638.891,734.94

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.40%6.40%6.40%
Growth Rate4.23%5.23%6.23%
Year 1 PV (M)840.55848.61856.68
Year 2 PV (M)922.31940.09958.04
Year 3 PV (M)1,000.401,029.471,059.10
Year 4 PV (M)1,074.941,116.791,159.85
Year 5 PV (M)1,146.041,202.081,260.29
PV of Terminal Value (M)35,730.4937,477.6539,292.50
Equity Value (M)40,714.7442,614.7144,586.47
Shares Outstanding (M)270.88270.88270.88
Fair Value$150.31$157.32$164.60
Upside / Downside44.00%50.72%57.69%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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