Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Ponsse Oyj (0FNZ.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - Capital GoodsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$21.63 - $35.20$27.71
Multi-Stage$33.34 - $36.61$34.95
Blended Fair Value$31.33
Current Price$27.10
Upside15.59%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-7.22%6.33%0.550.600.600.600.300.800.750.600.550.45
YoY Growth---8.30%-0.04%0.00%100.00%-62.50%6.79%25.00%9.09%22.22%50.98%
Dividend Yield--2.04%2.51%2.13%1.83%0.79%3.90%2.54%2.09%2.51%2.04%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)54.73
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)13.99
(=) Cash Retained (M)40.74
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10.956.844.10
Cash Retained (M)40.7440.7440.74
(-) Cash Required (M)-10.95-6.84-4.10
(=) Excess Retained (M)29.7933.9036.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)28.0028.0028.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.061.211.31
LTM Dividend per Share0.500.500.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.061.211.31
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.561.711.81
WACC / Discount Rate7.63%7.63%7.63%
Growth Rate0.37%1.37%2.37%
Fair Value$21.63$27.71$35.20
Upside / Downside-20.20%2.24%29.90%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)54.7355.4856.2457.0157.8058.5960.35
Payout Ratio25.56%38.45%51.34%64.23%77.11%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)13.9921.3328.8736.6244.5752.7355.82

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.63%7.63%7.63%
Growth Rate0.37%1.37%2.37%
Year 1 PV (M)19.6219.8220.02
Year 2 PV (M)24.4324.9225.42
Year 3 PV (M)28.5129.3730.25
Year 4 PV (M)31.9233.2134.54
Year 5 PV (M)34.7436.5138.34
PV of Terminal Value (M)794.18834.53876.52
Equity Value (M)933.40978.361,025.08
Shares Outstanding (M)28.0028.0028.00
Fair Value$33.34$34.95$36.61
Upside / Downside23.02%28.95%35.11%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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