Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Alleima AB (publ) (0ABJ.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SteelSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$39.00 - $61.48$49.29
Multi-Stage$72.46 - $79.56$75.94
Blended Fair Value$62.62
Current Price$71.25
Upside-12.12%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS201.83%0.00%2.001.400.010.000.000.010.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--42.74%11,600.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.38%1.97%0.02%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)979.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)575.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)404.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)195.80122.3873.43
Cash Retained (M)404.00404.00404.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-195.80-122.38-73.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)208.20281.63330.58
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)250.86250.86250.86
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.831.121.32
LTM Dividend per Share2.292.292.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.831.121.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.123.413.61
WACC / Discount Rate7.18%7.18%7.18%
Growth Rate-0.77%0.23%1.23%
Fair Value$39.00$49.29$61.48
Upside / Downside-45.26%-30.82%-13.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)979.00981.30983.60985.91988.23990.551,020.27
Payout Ratio58.73%64.99%71.24%77.49%83.75%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)575.00637.71700.72764.02827.61891.50943.75

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.18%7.18%7.18%
Growth Rate-0.77%0.23%1.23%
Year 1 PV (M)589.06595.00600.94
Year 2 PV (M)597.88609.99622.23
Year 3 PV (M)602.16620.55639.31
Year 4 PV (M)602.52627.17652.58
Year 5 PV (M)599.51630.33662.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)15,186.8315,967.6116,780.17
Equity Value (M)18,177.9719,050.6519,957.63
Shares Outstanding (M)250.86250.86250.86
Fair Value$72.46$75.94$79.56
Upside / Downside1.70%6.58%11.66%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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