Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Green Chemical Co., Ltd. (083420.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$13,660.06 - $80,377.71$25,134.71
Multi-Stage$11,442.14 - $12,528.93$11,975.45
Blended Fair Value$18,555.08
Current Price$6,990.00
Upside165.45%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.34%5.99%230.84230.84230.83210.76192.07134.93136.83352.82137.69137.69
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%9.52%9.73%42.34%-1.38%-61.22%156.25%0.00%6.67%
Dividend Yield--4.16%2.97%2.10%2.07%1.38%4.65%4.67%9.22%3.81%3.62%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)9,544.32
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5,598.32
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,946.01
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,908.861,193.04715.82
Cash Retained (M)3,946.013,946.013,946.01
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,908.86-1,193.04-715.82
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,037.142,752.973,230.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)23.2423.2423.24
(=) Excess Retained per Share87.65118.45138.98
LTM Dividend per Share240.88240.88240.88
(+) Excess Retained per Share87.65118.45138.98
(=) Adjusted Dividend328.53359.33379.86
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate3.99%4.99%5.99%
Fair Value$13,660.06$25,134.71$80,377.71
Upside / Downside95.42%259.58%1,049.90%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)9,544.3210,020.1310,519.6511,044.0811,594.6512,172.6712,537.85
Payout Ratio58.66%64.92%71.19%77.46%83.73%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5,598.326,505.557,489.328,555.019,708.3410,955.4011,597.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate3.99%4.99%5.99%
Year 1 PV (M)6,051.106,109.296,167.49
Year 2 PV (M)6,479.536,604.756,731.17
Year 3 PV (M)6,884.507,085.037,289.42
Year 4 PV (M)7,266.877,550.467,842.27
Year 5 PV (M)7,627.488,001.368,389.76
PV of Terminal Value (M)231,620.92242,974.40254,768.80
Equity Value (M)265,930.39278,325.30291,188.91
Shares Outstanding (M)23.2423.2423.24
Fair Value$11,442.14$11,975.45$12,528.93
Upside / Downside63.69%71.32%79.24%

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