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Definitive Analysis

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Able C&C Co., Ltd. (078520.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Household & Personal ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5,505.28 - $8,516.65$6,901.85
Multi-Stage$12,777.82 - $14,051.54$13,402.22
Blended Fair Value$10,152.03
Current Price$7,780.00
Upside30.49%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%10.75%364.221,270.780.000.000.000.000.00232.64158.674.81
YoY Growth---71.34%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%46.62%3,198.89%-96.33%
Dividend Yield--5.69%18.03%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%1.23%0.67%0.02%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)15,384.49
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10,691.82
(=) Cash Retained (M)4,692.67
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3,076.901,923.061,153.84
Cash Retained (M)4,692.674,692.674,692.67
(-) Cash Required (M)-3,076.90-1,923.06-1,153.84
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,615.772,769.613,538.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)26.0026.0026.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share62.15106.53136.12
LTM Dividend per Share411.25411.25411.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share62.15106.53136.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend473.40517.78547.37
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$5,505.28$6,901.85$8,516.65
Upside / Downside-29.24%-11.29%9.47%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)15,384.4915,230.6415,078.3314,927.5514,778.2814,630.4915,069.41
Payout Ratio69.50%73.60%77.70%81.80%85.90%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10,691.8211,209.4411,715.6312,210.5812,694.4613,167.4413,939.20

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)10,426.1210,532.5110,638.89
Year 2 PV (M)10,135.4610,343.3610,553.37
Year 3 PV (M)9,825.4610,129.3210,439.38
Year 4 PV (M)9,501.019,894.7810,300.67
Year 5 PV (M)9,166.339,643.6510,140.64
PV of Terminal Value (M)283,146.47297,890.56313,242.56
Equity Value (M)332,200.84348,434.17365,315.51
Shares Outstanding (M)26.0026.0026.00
Fair Value$12,777.82$13,402.22$14,051.54
Upside / Downside64.24%72.26%80.61%

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