Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

NHN KCP Corp. (060250.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - InfrastructureSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$22,720.86 - $48,454.16$32,318.37
Multi-Stage$16,346.42 - $17,865.65$17,092.25
Blended Fair Value$24,705.31
Current Price$18,680.00
Upside32.26%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS19.59%28.87%202.48202.480.000.00130.5782.780.000.0055.690.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%57.73%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--2.72%1.65%0.00%0.00%0.44%0.49%0.00%0.00%0.86%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)45,948.45
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,866.63
(=) Cash Retained (M)42,081.82
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9,189.695,743.563,446.13
Cash Retained (M)42,081.8242,081.8242,081.82
(-) Cash Required (M)-9,189.69-5,743.56-3,446.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)32,892.1336,338.2738,635.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)38.1938.1938.19
(=) Excess Retained per Share861.20951.431,011.58
LTM Dividend per Share101.24101.24101.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share861.20951.431,011.58
(=) Adjusted Dividend962.441,052.661,112.82
WACC / Discount Rate9.97%9.97%9.97%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$22,720.86$32,318.37$48,454.16
Upside / Downside21.63%73.01%159.39%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)45,948.4548,935.1052,115.8955,503.4259,111.1462,953.3664,841.96
Payout Ratio8.42%24.73%41.05%57.37%73.68%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,866.6312,102.6921,393.1031,840.1243,554.8856,658.0359,978.82

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.97%9.97%9.97%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)10,902.2211,005.5611,108.90
Year 2 PV (M)17,359.6017,690.2518,024.02
Year 3 PV (M)23,274.1523,942.2724,623.05
Year 4 PV (M)28,679.3329,782.2530,916.69
Year 5 PV (M)33,606.7635,229.9836,915.32
PV of Terminal Value (M)510,504.85535,162.43560,763.71
Equity Value (M)624,326.91652,812.74682,351.69
Shares Outstanding (M)38.1938.1938.19
Fair Value$16,346.42$17,092.25$17,865.65
Upside / Downside-12.49%-8.50%-4.36%

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