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Definitive Analysis

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Shinhan Financial Group Co., Ltd. (055550.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$391,408.71 - $1,951,342.67$819,605.73
Multi-Stage$240,637.31 - $263,473.45$251,844.79
Blended Fair Value$535,725.26
Current Price$61,400.00
Upside772.52%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.81%12.23%2,568.442,962.123,123.262,470.361,963.801,683.931,448.671,432.171,356.241,107.04
YoY Growth---13.29%-5.16%26.43%25.79%16.62%16.24%1.15%5.60%22.51%36.61%
Dividend Yield--5.46%6.50%8.84%5.95%5.24%5.89%3.31%3.13%2.91%2.73%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,867,041.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,292,142.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,574,899.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)973,408.20608,380.13365,028.08
Cash Retained (M)3,574,899.003,574,899.003,574,899.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-973,408.20-608,380.13-365,028.08
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,601,490.802,966,518.883,209,870.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)493.35493.35493.35
(=) Excess Retained per Share5,273.086,012.976,506.24
LTM Dividend per Share2,619.102,619.102,619.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share5,273.086,012.976,506.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend7,892.188,632.089,125.34
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate4.92%5.92%6.92%
Fair Value$391,408.71$819,605.73$1,951,342.67
Upside / Downside537.47%1,234.86%3,078.08%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,867,041.005,155,117.495,460,245.005,783,432.796,125,749.816,488,328.326,682,978.17
Payout Ratio26.55%39.24%51.93%64.62%77.31%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,292,142.002,022,819.482,835,466.603,737,226.994,735,802.735,839,495.496,181,754.81

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate4.92%5.92%6.92%
Year 1 PV (M)1,872,034.151,889,876.821,907,719.50
Year 2 PV (M)2,428,498.372,475,011.842,521,966.54
Year 3 PV (M)2,962,234.243,047,744.773,134,885.27
Year 4 PV (M)3,473,922.823,608,270.553,746,477.86
Year 5 PV (M)3,964,227.124,156,781.444,356,746.45
PV of Terminal Value (M)104,018,221.74109,070,696.38114,317,622.08
Equity Value (M)118,719,138.44124,248,381.80129,985,417.70
Shares Outstanding (M)493.35493.35493.35
Fair Value$240,637.31$251,844.79$263,473.45
Upside / Downside291.92%310.17%329.11%

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