Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

SiS International Holdings Limited (0529.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Technology DistributorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$46.99 - $210.62$109.39
Multi-Stage$26.97 - $29.56$28.24
Blended Fair Value$68.82
Current Price$1.65
Upside4,070.65%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-22.16%-12.92%0.020.020.020.000.020.070.040.030.030.05
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-71.43%75.00%33.34%0.14%-39.98%-37.42%
Dividend Yield--1.39%1.30%1.33%0.00%1.25%2.30%1.00%0.59%0.78%1.16%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)295.95
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)11.12
(=) Cash Retained (M)284.84
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)59.1936.9922.20
Cash Retained (M)284.84284.84284.84
(-) Cash Required (M)-59.19-36.99-22.20
(=) Excess Retained (M)225.65247.84262.64
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)277.97277.97277.97
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.810.890.94
LTM Dividend per Share0.040.040.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.810.890.94
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.850.930.98
WACC / Discount Rate6.83%6.83%6.83%
Growth Rate4.93%5.93%6.93%
Fair Value$46.99$109.39$210.62
Upside / Downside2,747.72%6,529.88%12,664.93%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)295.95313.50332.09351.79372.65394.74406.59
Payout Ratio3.76%21.01%38.25%55.50%72.75%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)11.1265.85127.04195.25271.11355.27376.09

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.83%6.83%6.83%
Growth Rate4.93%5.93%6.93%
Year 1 PV (M)61.0661.6462.22
Year 2 PV (M)109.22111.31113.42
Year 3 PV (M)155.64160.14164.71
Year 4 PV (M)200.38208.13216.10
Year 5 PV (M)243.48255.30267.58
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,726.177,052.857,392.09
Equity Value (M)7,495.957,849.368,216.13
Shares Outstanding (M)277.97277.97277.97
Fair Value$26.97$28.24$29.56
Upside / Downside1,534.37%1,611.42%1,691.39%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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