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Dah Sing Financial Holdings Limited (0440.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$96.29 - $143.95$118.92
Multi-Stage$203.44 - $223.98$213.50
Blended Fair Value$166.21
Current Price$29.75
Upside458.71%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.51%7.24%2.551.171.061.001.351.481.488.321.351.33
YoY Growth--118.55%10.17%6.00%-25.93%-8.78%0.11%-82.26%516.28%1.57%4.96%
Dividend Yield--9.07%7.38%5.85%4.23%6.17%4.81%3.81%16.38%2.57%3.43%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,749.54
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,306.73
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,442.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)749.91468.69281.22
Cash Retained (M)2,442.802,442.802,442.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-749.91-468.69-281.22
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,692.901,974.112,161.59
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)320.16320.16320.16
(=) Excess Retained per Share5.296.176.75
LTM Dividend per Share4.084.084.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share5.296.176.75
(=) Adjusted Dividend9.3710.2510.83
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate-2.46%-1.46%-0.46%
Fair Value$96.29$118.92$143.95
Upside / Downside223.66%299.75%383.86%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,749.543,694.813,640.883,587.733,535.363,483.763,588.27
Payout Ratio34.85%45.88%56.91%67.94%78.97%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,306.731,695.192,072.032,437.512,791.883,135.383,319.15

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate-2.46%-1.46%-0.46%
Year 1 PV (M)1,567.751,583.831,599.90
Year 2 PV (M)1,772.211,808.731,845.63
Year 3 PV (M)1,928.071,987.982,049.12
Year 4 PV (M)2,042.362,127.412,215.09
Year 5 PV (M)2,121.222,232.202,347.79
PV of Terminal Value (M)55,700.7158,615.1261,650.27
Equity Value (M)65,132.3268,355.2871,707.80
Shares Outstanding (M)320.16320.16320.16
Fair Value$203.44$213.50$223.98
Upside / Downside583.83%617.66%652.86%

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