Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

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Korea Environment Technology Co., Ltd. (029960.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Waste ManagementSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9,599.85 - $19,999.38$13,542.14
Multi-Stage$13,450.99 - $14,727.59$14,077.33
Blended Fair Value$13,809.73
Current Price$8,880.00
Upside55.52%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.06%34.60%498.49498.49306.89521.72552.41408.5825.5425.8525.5425.54
YoY Growth--0.00%62.43%-41.18%-5.56%35.20%1,500.00%-1.20%1.21%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.61%7.29%4.33%6.30%6.17%0.00%0.35%0.48%0.78%0.94%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)26,362.75
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)24,260.36
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,102.39
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5,272.553,295.341,977.21
Cash Retained (M)2,102.392,102.392,102.39
(-) Cash Required (M)-5,272.55-3,295.34-1,977.21
(=) Excess Retained (M)-3,170.16-1,192.95125.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)48.6748.6748.67
(=) Excess Retained per Share-65.14-24.512.57
LTM Dividend per Share498.49498.49498.49
(+) Excess Retained per Share-65.14-24.512.57
(=) Adjusted Dividend433.35473.98501.06
WACC / Discount Rate6.67%6.67%6.67%
Growth Rate2.06%3.06%4.06%
Fair Value$9,599.85$13,542.14$19,999.38
Upside / Downside8.11%52.50%125.22%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)26,362.7527,168.9727,999.8428,856.1329,738.6030,648.0531,567.49
Payout Ratio92.03%91.62%91.22%90.81%90.41%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)24,260.3624,892.2425,540.0826,204.2626,885.1927,583.2529,199.93

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.67%6.67%6.67%
Growth Rate2.06%3.06%4.06%
Year 1 PV (M)23,110.3523,336.7923,563.23
Year 2 PV (M)22,014.4122,447.9422,885.69
Year 3 PV (M)20,970.0421,592.5222,227.19
Year 4 PV (M)19,974.8220,769.2821,587.21
Year 5 PV (M)19,026.4419,977.0320,965.23
PV of Terminal Value (M)549,530.39576,985.58605,527.33
Equity Value (M)654,626.45685,109.13716,755.87
Shares Outstanding (M)48.6748.6748.67
Fair Value$13,450.99$14,077.33$14,727.59
Upside / Downside51.48%58.53%65.85%

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