Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

COWAY Co., Ltd. (021240.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Furnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$520,189.34 - $1,585,774.03$1,486,057.09
Multi-Stage$233,914.77 - $256,147.34$244,825.97
Blended Fair Value$865,441.53
Current Price$98,500.00
Upside778.62%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-17.73%-2.30%1,363.731,313.221,262.571,212.070.003,618.343,214.205,696.732,896.042,065.17
YoY Growth--3.85%4.01%4.17%0.00%-100.00%12.57%-43.58%96.71%40.23%20.01%
Dividend Yield--1.68%2.30%2.40%1.77%0.00%6.26%3.37%6.34%3.01%2.14%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)574,642.38
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)189,121.02
(=) Cash Retained (M)385,521.36
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)114,928.4871,830.3043,098.18
Cash Retained (M)385,521.36385,521.36385,521.36
(-) Cash Required (M)-114,928.48-71,830.30-43,098.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)270,592.88313,691.06342,423.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)71.8371.8371.83
(=) Excess Retained per Share3,766.964,366.934,766.92
LTM Dividend per Share2,632.782,632.782,632.78
(+) Excess Retained per Share3,766.964,366.934,766.92
(=) Adjusted Dividend6,399.746,999.717,399.70
WACC / Discount Rate6.44%6.44%6.44%
Growth Rate5.15%6.15%7.15%
Fair Value$520,189.34$1,486,057.09$1,585,774.03
Upside / Downside428.11%1,408.69%1,509.92%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)574,642.38609,990.34647,512.67687,343.10729,623.62774,504.94797,740.09
Payout Ratio32.91%44.33%55.75%67.16%78.58%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)189,121.02270,401.80360,966.61461,650.09573,354.41697,054.45737,909.59

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.44%6.44%6.44%
Growth Rate5.15%6.15%7.15%
Year 1 PV (M)251,636.63254,029.72256,422.81
Year 2 PV (M)312,604.78318,578.87324,609.49
Year 3 PV (M)372,053.85382,769.94393,689.83
Year 4 PV (M)430,011.76446,604.42463,672.70
Year 5 PV (M)486,505.97510,083.79534,567.02
PV of Terminal Value (M)14,950,045.4715,674,578.4116,426,933.73
Equity Value (M)16,802,858.4717,586,645.1418,399,895.59
Shares Outstanding (M)71.8371.8371.83
Fair Value$233,914.77$244,825.97$256,147.34
Upside / Downside137.48%148.55%160.05%

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