Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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SeAH SPECIALSTEEL Co. Ltd. (019440.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SteelSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$22,997.17 - $42,949.40$31,142.19
Multi-Stage$39,095.00 - $42,906.91$40,964.59
Blended Fair Value$36,053.39
Current Price$14,830.00
Upside143.11%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.95%2.92%999.65999.651,199.59555.78907.09907.56756.82756.82706.83815.60
YoY Growth--0.00%-16.67%115.84%-38.73%-0.05%19.92%0.00%7.07%-13.34%8.83%
Dividend Yield--7.64%7.31%6.95%3.48%6.55%9.78%4.87%3.93%3.34%4.26%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)12,900.76
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8,344.87
(=) Cash Retained (M)4,555.90
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,580.151,612.60967.56
Cash Retained (M)4,555.904,555.904,555.90
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,580.15-1,612.60-967.56
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,975.742,943.303,588.34
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)8.358.358.35
(=) Excess Retained per Share236.68352.59429.86
LTM Dividend per Share999.65999.65999.65
(+) Excess Retained per Share236.68352.59429.86
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,236.331,352.241,429.51
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate0.92%1.92%2.92%
Fair Value$22,997.17$31,142.19$42,949.40
Upside / Downside55.07%109.99%189.61%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)12,900.7613,148.8513,401.7113,659.4213,922.1014,189.8214,615.52
Payout Ratio64.69%69.75%74.81%79.87%84.94%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8,344.879,171.0710,025.9610,910.3311,825.0212,770.8413,519.36

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate0.92%1.92%2.92%
Year 1 PV (M)8,538.978,623.588,708.19
Year 2 PV (M)8,691.568,864.659,039.45
Year 3 PV (M)8,806.349,070.729,340.33
Year 4 PV (M)8,886.799,244.289,612.45
Year 5 PV (M)8,936.129,387.709,857.35
PV of Terminal Value (M)282,495.54296,771.25311,618.34
Equity Value (M)326,355.33341,962.18358,176.12
Shares Outstanding (M)8.358.358.35
Fair Value$39,095.00$40,964.59$42,906.91
Upside / Downside163.62%176.23%189.33%

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