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Definitive Analysis

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Seoul City Gas Co., Ltd. (017390.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated GasSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$251,172.45 - $794,702.26$404,193.21
Multi-Stage$267,052.21 - $293,000.95$279,782.36
Blended Fair Value$341,987.78
Current Price$57,300.00
Upside496.84%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.14%5.66%2,330.031,782.691,792.161,783.5216,706.221,813.721,739.931,788.211,818.291,624.07
YoY Growth--30.70%-0.53%0.48%-89.32%821.10%4.24%-2.70%-1.65%11.96%20.84%
Dividend Yield--4.78%3.08%0.36%0.97%18.81%2.96%2.08%2.10%2.24%1.99%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)37,913.46
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10,019.69
(=) Cash Retained (M)27,893.77
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7,582.694,739.182,843.51
Cash Retained (M)27,893.7727,893.7727,893.77
(-) Cash Required (M)-7,582.69-4,739.18-2,843.51
(=) Excess Retained (M)20,311.0823,154.5925,050.26
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3.913.913.91
(=) Excess Retained per Share5,198.055,925.776,410.92
LTM Dividend per Share2,564.262,564.262,564.26
(+) Excess Retained per Share5,198.055,925.776,410.92
(=) Adjusted Dividend7,762.328,490.038,975.18
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate3.14%4.14%5.14%
Fair Value$251,172.45$404,193.21$794,702.26
Upside / Downside338.35%605.40%1,286.91%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)37,913.4639,482.1941,115.8242,817.0544,588.6746,433.5947,826.60
Payout Ratio26.43%39.14%51.86%64.57%77.29%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10,019.6915,454.2121,321.3027,647.4534,460.6041,790.2344,239.60

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate3.14%4.14%5.14%
Year 1 PV (M)14,395.3014,534.8714,674.45
Year 2 PV (M)18,499.5618,860.0319,223.99
Year 3 PV (M)22,344.8123,001.0823,670.08
Year 4 PV (M)25,942.8926,963.7628,014.48
Year 5 PV (M)29,305.1630,753.6632,258.88
PV of Terminal Value (M)933,002.43979,119.001,027,041.38
Equity Value (M)1,043,490.151,093,232.421,144,883.25
Shares Outstanding (M)3.913.913.91
Fair Value$267,052.21$279,782.36$293,000.95
Upside / Downside366.06%388.28%411.35%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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