Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Fursys Inc. (016800.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Furnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$191,485.17 - $764,629.72$516,246.44
Multi-Stage$223,590.41 - $245,745.36$234,456.93
Blended Fair Value$375,351.68
Current Price$44,900.00
Upside735.97%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS2.63%4.94%1,200.081,101.461,127.361,025.891,053.831,053.83843.22739.63745.13742.58
YoY Growth--8.95%-2.30%9.89%-2.65%0.00%24.98%14.01%-0.74%0.34%0.25%
Dividend Yield--2.87%3.05%3.81%2.77%3.57%3.83%2.69%2.36%2.34%2.03%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)35,242.58
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10,738.74
(=) Cash Retained (M)24,503.84
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7,048.524,405.322,643.19
Cash Retained (M)24,503.8424,503.8424,503.84
(-) Cash Required (M)-7,048.52-4,405.32-2,643.19
(=) Excess Retained (M)17,455.3220,098.5221,860.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)8.958.958.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,950.682,246.062,442.98
LTM Dividend per Share1,200.081,200.081,200.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,950.682,246.062,442.98
(=) Adjusted Dividend3,150.763,446.143,643.06
WACC / Discount Rate4.64%4.64%4.64%
Growth Rate2.94%3.94%4.94%
Fair Value$191,485.17$516,246.44$764,629.72
Upside / Downside326.47%1,049.77%1,602.96%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)35,242.5836,632.2838,076.7739,578.2241,138.8842,761.0744,043.91
Payout Ratio30.47%42.38%54.28%66.19%78.09%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10,738.7415,523.5720,669.0426,196.1832,127.0738,484.9740,740.61

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.64%4.64%4.64%
Growth Rate2.94%3.94%4.94%
Year 1 PV (M)14,692.9014,835.6314,978.35
Year 2 PV (M)18,516.2218,877.7019,242.68
Year 3 PV (M)22,211.9122,865.5223,531.83
Year 4 PV (M)25,783.0926,799.6227,845.92
Year 5 PV (M)29,232.8330,680.5432,185.04
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,890,327.041,983,942.292,081,230.26
Equity Value (M)2,000,763.992,098,001.302,199,014.09
Shares Outstanding (M)8.958.958.95
Fair Value$223,590.41$234,456.93$245,745.36
Upside / Downside397.97%422.18%447.32%

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