Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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DB Securities Co., Ltd. (016610.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Capital MarketsSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$44,510.13 - $261,877.00$81,994.49
Multi-Stage$33,147.01 - $36,307.77$34,698.09
Blended Fair Value$58,346.29
Current Price$8,290.00
Upside603.82%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-4.69%31.92%212.27181.93527.11321.61270.23269.94116.0713.3013.30116.07
YoY Growth--16.68%-65.49%63.90%19.02%0.11%132.57%772.93%0.00%-88.54%772.93%
Dividend Yield--3.98%4.34%13.13%4.81%4.47%8.95%2.38%0.32%0.37%2.96%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)53,641.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)16,222.35
(=) Cash Retained (M)37,419.55
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10,728.386,705.244,023.14
Cash Retained (M)37,419.5537,419.5537,419.55
(-) Cash Required (M)-10,728.38-6,705.24-4,023.14
(=) Excess Retained (M)26,691.1730,714.3133,396.41
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)40.3140.3140.31
(=) Excess Retained per Share662.13761.93828.46
LTM Dividend per Share402.43402.43402.43
(+) Excess Retained per Share662.13761.93828.46
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,064.551,164.361,230.89
WACC / Discount Rate6.87%6.87%6.87%
Growth Rate4.38%5.38%6.38%
Fair Value$44,510.13$81,994.49$261,877.00
Upside / Downside436.91%889.08%3,058.95%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)53,641.9056,526.2359,565.6462,768.4966,143.5669,700.1071,791.10
Payout Ratio30.24%42.19%54.15%66.10%78.05%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)16,222.3523,850.4232,251.9141,487.9551,623.9862,730.0966,406.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.87%6.87%6.87%
Growth Rate4.38%5.38%6.38%
Year 1 PV (M)22,104.7422,316.5222,528.29
Year 2 PV (M)27,703.4728,236.8528,775.31
Year 3 PV (M)33,028.5933,987.0234,963.81
Year 4 PV (M)38,089.8139,570.6341,094.20
Year 5 PV (M)42,896.5744,991.2147,166.89
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,172,374.321,229,621.361,289,083.16
Equity Value (M)1,336,197.511,398,723.581,463,611.67
Shares Outstanding (M)40.3140.3140.31
Fair Value$33,147.01$34,698.09$36,307.77
Upside / Downside299.84%318.55%337.97%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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