Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Tai Ping Carpets International Limited (0146.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.81 - $5.91$4.78
Multi-Stage$8.86 - $9.75$9.30
Blended Fair Value$7.04
Current Price$1.45
Upside385.43%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.090.060.030.000.000.001.730.030.12
YoY Growth---100.00%50.28%101.63%8,920.00%0.00%-100.00%-99.84%5,666.32%-74.98%0.81%
Dividend Yield--0.00%7.51%8.11%4.13%0.03%0.00%0.19%111.61%1.29%5.33%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)85.89
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)44.59
(=) Cash Retained (M)41.30
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)17.1810.746.44
Cash Retained (M)41.3041.3041.30
(-) Cash Required (M)-17.18-10.74-6.44
(=) Excess Retained (M)24.1230.5634.86
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)212.19212.19212.19
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.110.140.16
LTM Dividend per Share0.210.210.21
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.110.140.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.320.350.37
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$3.81$4.78$5.91
Upside / Downside162.57%229.66%307.59%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)85.8985.0384.1883.3482.5181.6884.13
Payout Ratio51.92%59.53%67.15%74.77%82.38%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)44.5950.6256.5362.3167.9773.5277.82

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)47.1347.6148.09
Year 2 PV (M)48.9949.9951.01
Year 3 PV (M)50.2751.8253.41
Year 4 PV (M)51.0553.1655.35
Year 5 PV (M)51.4054.0756.86
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,631.181,716.111,804.56
Equity Value (M)1,880.011,972.782,069.27
Shares Outstanding (M)212.19212.19212.19
Fair Value$8.86$9.30$9.75
Upside / Downside511.03%541.19%572.55%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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