Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Kwang Dong Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (009290.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$25,238.29 - $142,816.44$47,780.74
Multi-Stage$34,807.05 - $38,273.59$36,507.18
Blended Fair Value$42,143.96
Current Price$5,830.00
Upside622.88%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.51%3.37%101.44103.98103.98103.9880.1481.3682.1682.1782.1781.35
YoY Growth---2.43%0.00%0.00%29.74%-1.49%-0.98%-0.01%0.00%1.01%11.75%
Dividend Yield--1.97%1.42%1.88%1.38%0.94%1.43%1.17%0.92%0.92%0.73%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)29,182.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,927.88
(=) Cash Retained (M)25,255.04
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5,836.583,647.862,188.72
Cash Retained (M)25,255.0425,255.0425,255.04
(-) Cash Required (M)-5,836.58-3,647.86-2,188.72
(=) Excess Retained (M)19,418.4621,607.1823,066.32
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)39.5139.5139.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share491.50546.90583.84
LTM Dividend per Share99.4299.4299.42
(+) Excess Retained per Share491.50546.90583.84
(=) Adjusted Dividend590.92646.32683.25
WACC / Discount Rate4.91%4.91%4.91%
Growth Rate2.51%3.51%4.51%
Fair Value$25,238.29$47,780.74$142,816.44
Upside / Downside332.90%719.57%2,349.68%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)29,182.9230,207.7831,268.6332,366.7433,503.4234,680.0135,720.41
Payout Ratio13.46%28.77%44.08%59.38%74.69%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,927.888,690.0613,781.8719,220.6025,024.3431,212.0133,041.38

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.91%4.91%4.91%
Growth Rate2.51%3.51%4.51%
Year 1 PV (M)8,203.168,283.188,363.20
Year 2 PV (M)12,280.7712,521.5312,764.64
Year 3 PV (M)16,167.5016,645.2817,132.37
Year 4 PV (M)19,869.9720,656.7121,466.59
Year 5 PV (M)23,394.5724,558.1125,767.50
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,295,249.831,359,670.081,426,628.39
Equity Value (M)1,375,165.801,442,334.891,512,122.69
Shares Outstanding (M)39.5139.5139.51
Fair Value$34,807.05$36,507.18$38,273.59
Upside / Downside497.03%526.20%556.49%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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