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Definitive Analysis

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Hansol Logistics Co., Ltd. (009180.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Integrated Freight & LogisticsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$34,098.27 - $81,552.15$76,426.31
Multi-Stage$11,959.16 - $13,089.75$12,514.07
Blended Fair Value$44,470.19
Current Price$2,595.00
Upside1,613.69%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS48.40%11.20%98.6968.4058.6348.8639.0813.7117.5811.7211.7234.15
YoY Growth--44.29%16.67%20.00%25.00%185.05%-21.99%50.00%0.00%-65.69%0.04%
Dividend Yield--4.69%2.86%2.07%1.12%1.14%1.23%1.29%0.60%0.57%1.44%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)11,528.63
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4,222.37
(=) Cash Retained (M)7,306.26
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,305.731,441.08864.65
Cash Retained (M)7,306.267,306.267,306.26
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,305.73-1,441.08-864.65
(=) Excess Retained (M)5,000.545,865.186,441.62
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)28.1128.1128.11
(=) Excess Retained per Share177.87208.62229.12
LTM Dividend per Share150.19150.19150.19
(+) Excess Retained per Share177.87208.62229.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend328.05358.81379.31
WACC / Discount Rate6.51%6.51%6.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$34,098.27$76,426.31$81,552.15
Upside / Downside1,214.00%2,845.14%3,042.66%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)11,528.6312,278.0013,076.0613,926.0114,831.2015,795.2316,269.08
Payout Ratio36.63%47.30%57.98%68.65%79.33%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4,222.375,807.507,580.859,560.2111,764.8514,215.7015,048.90

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.51%6.51%6.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)5,401.095,452.285,503.48
Year 2 PV (M)6,556.966,681.856,807.92
Year 3 PV (M)7,690.317,911.078,136.01
Year 4 PV (M)8,801.469,139.949,488.09
Year 5 PV (M)9,890.7410,368.4710,864.48
PV of Terminal Value (M)297,879.20312,266.88327,205.21
Equity Value (M)336,219.76351,820.49368,005.19
Shares Outstanding (M)28.1128.1128.11
Fair Value$11,959.16$12,514.07$13,089.75
Upside / Downside360.85%382.24%404.42%

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