Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

KCTC Co. Ltd (009070.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Integrated Freight & LogisticsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$13,193.23 - $28,292.42$18,803.24
Multi-Stage$9,528.90 - $10,411.66$9,962.28
Blended Fair Value$14,382.76
Current Price$5,300.00
Upside171.37%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS12.17%12.09%80.8260.4960.4550.3947.5145.5050.4135.3837.7934.15
YoY Growth--33.60%0.07%19.97%6.05%4.42%-9.74%42.48%-6.37%10.67%32.31%
Dividend Yield--2.30%1.55%1.42%0.80%0.74%2.31%1.39%1.34%1.16%1.03%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)20,749.93
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,646.39
(=) Cash Retained (M)18,103.54
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4,149.992,593.741,556.24
Cash Retained (M)18,103.5418,103.5418,103.54
(-) Cash Required (M)-4,149.99-2,593.74-1,556.24
(=) Excess Retained (M)13,953.5615,509.8016,547.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)29.9129.9129.91
(=) Excess Retained per Share466.57518.61553.30
LTM Dividend per Share88.4988.4988.49
(+) Excess Retained per Share466.57518.61553.30
(=) Adjusted Dividend555.06607.09641.78
WACC / Discount Rate9.94%9.94%9.94%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$13,193.23$18,803.24$28,292.42
Upside / Downside148.93%254.78%433.82%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)20,749.9322,098.6823,535.0925,064.8726,694.0928,429.2129,282.08
Payout Ratio12.75%28.20%43.65%59.10%74.55%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,646.396,232.4910,273.5914,813.7119,900.6425,586.2927,085.93

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.94%9.94%9.94%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)5,615.835,669.065,722.30
Year 2 PV (M)8,341.208,500.078,660.45
Year 3 PV (M)10,837.3411,148.4411,465.44
Year 4 PV (M)13,118.3413,622.8314,141.74
Year 5 PV (M)15,197.4915,931.5416,693.68
PV of Terminal Value (M)231,868.14243,067.46254,695.40
Equity Value (M)284,978.34297,939.41311,379.00
Shares Outstanding (M)29.9129.9129.91
Fair Value$9,528.90$9,962.28$10,411.66
Upside / Downside79.79%87.97%96.45%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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