Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Sino Land Company Limited (0083.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DevelopmentSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10.45 - $16.95$13.37
Multi-Stage$30.10 - $33.21$31.62
Blended Fair Value$22.49
Current Price$8.35
Upside169.40%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.110.050.360.060.150.100.270.140.25
YoY Growth---100.00%128.99%-86.44%500.60%-60.52%56.50%-64.18%87.85%-42.27%0.20%
Dividend Yield--0.00%1.37%0.50%3.07%0.48%1.54%0.71%2.09%1.11%1.95%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)8,421.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,809.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)6,612.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,684.201,052.63631.58
Cash Retained (M)6,612.006,612.006,612.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,684.20-1,052.63-631.58
(=) Excess Retained (M)4,927.805,559.385,980.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)8,594.358,594.358,594.35
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.570.650.70
LTM Dividend per Share0.210.210.21
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.570.650.70
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.780.860.91
WACC / Discount Rate5.35%5.35%5.35%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$10.45$13.37$16.95
Upside / Downside25.20%60.12%102.95%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)8,421.008,336.798,253.428,170.898,089.188,008.298,248.54
Payout Ratio21.48%35.19%48.89%62.59%76.30%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,809.002,933.354,035.035,114.396,171.757,207.467,629.90

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.35%5.35%5.35%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)2,756.302,784.432,812.55
Year 2 PV (M)3,562.653,635.733,709.55
Year 3 PV (M)4,243.104,374.324,508.22
Year 4 PV (M)4,811.285,010.695,216.23
Year 5 PV (M)5,279.565,554.485,840.73
PV of Terminal Value (M)237,995.35250,388.32263,292.26
Equity Value (M)258,648.24271,747.96285,379.54
Shares Outstanding (M)8,594.358,594.358,594.35
Fair Value$30.10$31.62$33.21
Upside / Downside260.42%278.68%297.67%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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