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Definitive Analysis

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Harim Holdings Co., Ltd. (003380.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$126,522.65 - $241,439.23$226,263.92
Multi-Stage$37,702.96 - $41,275.43$39,456.33
Blended Fair Value$132,860.13
Current Price$7,340.00
Upside1,710.08%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS26.34%0.00%389.69579.12450.75228.9982.13121.06194.1588.384.230.00
YoY Growth---32.71%28.48%96.84%178.82%-32.16%-37.65%119.68%1,991.35%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--6.97%8.53%2.81%2.18%0.89%2.37%1.64%0.61%0.02%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)118,104.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)43,482.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)74,622.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)23,620.8014,763.008,857.80
Cash Retained (M)74,622.0074,622.0074,622.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-23,620.80-14,763.00-8,857.80
(=) Excess Retained (M)51,001.2059,859.0065,764.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)97.2897.2897.28
(=) Excess Retained per Share524.26615.31676.01
LTM Dividend per Share446.96446.96446.96
(+) Excess Retained per Share524.26615.31676.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend971.221,062.271,122.97
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$126,522.65$226,263.92$241,439.23
Upside / Downside1,623.74%2,982.61%3,189.36%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)118,104.00125,780.76133,956.51142,663.68151,936.82161,812.72166,667.10
Payout Ratio36.82%47.45%58.09%68.73%79.36%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)43,482.0059,687.2077,815.3798,048.01120,582.14145,631.44154,167.06

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)55,617.3956,144.5756,671.74
Year 2 PV (M)67,565.3668,852.2970,151.36
Year 3 PV (M)79,328.0781,605.3083,925.69
Year 4 PV (M)90,907.6594,403.7197,999.64
Year 5 PV (M)102,306.21107,247.64112,378.19
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,272,131.903,430,177.093,594,271.05
Equity Value (M)3,667,856.583,838,430.594,015,397.67
Shares Outstanding (M)97.2897.2897.28
Fair Value$37,702.96$39,456.33$41,275.43
Upside / Downside413.66%437.55%462.34%

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