Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Zhejiang Truelove Vogue Co., Ltd. (003041.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$12.64 - $18.31$15.39
Multi-Stage$21.33 - $23.44$22.36
Blended Fair Value$18.88
Current Price$23.93
Upside-21.12%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720142013
DPS126.13%8.29%0.520.330.150.000.000.010.030.020.170.21
YoY Growth--57.20%120.74%1,011,277.58%-98.18%-90.76%-71.44%31.57%-85.89%-20.41%-11.09%
Dividend Yield--1.86%2.53%0.92%0.00%0.00%0.05%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)249.98
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)69.84
(=) Cash Retained (M)180.14
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)50.0031.2518.75
Cash Retained (M)180.14180.14180.14
(-) Cash Required (M)-50.00-31.25-18.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)130.15148.89161.39
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)144.01144.01144.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.901.031.12
LTM Dividend per Share0.480.480.48
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.901.031.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.391.521.61
WACC / Discount Rate8.67%8.67%8.67%
Growth Rate-2.09%-1.09%-0.09%
Fair Value$12.64$15.39$18.31
Upside / Downside-47.20%-35.68%-23.48%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)249.98247.26244.57241.91239.28236.68243.78
Payout Ratio27.94%40.35%52.76%65.17%77.59%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)69.8499.77129.04157.66185.65213.01225.49

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.67%8.67%8.67%
Growth Rate-2.09%-1.09%-0.09%
Year 1 PV (M)90.8891.8192.73
Year 2 PV (M)107.07109.26111.49
Year 3 PV (M)119.16122.85126.61
Year 4 PV (M)127.81133.11138.57
Year 5 PV (M)133.57140.54147.78
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,492.532,622.442,757.71
Equity Value (M)3,071.013,220.003,374.90
Shares Outstanding (M)144.01144.01144.01
Fair Value$21.33$22.36$23.44
Upside / Downside-10.88%-6.56%-2.07%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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