Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Guangdong Shunkong Development Co.,Ltd. (003039.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated WaterSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$74.47 - $87.74$82.23
Multi-Stage$21.74 - $23.81$22.76
Blended Fair Value$52.49
Current Price$13.26
Upside295.86%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS32.23%7.07%0.550.110.130.120.100.140.130.150.120.12
YoY Growth--396.25%-12.60%2.42%19.86%-24.08%5.40%-12.16%20.45%3.95%-57.75%
Dividend Yield--4.01%0.82%0.68%0.57%0.24%1.61%0.00%0.00%1.45%1.39%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)272.47
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)192.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)80.47
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)54.4934.0620.44
Cash Retained (M)80.4780.4780.47
(-) Cash Required (M)-54.49-34.06-20.44
(=) Excess Retained (M)25.9746.4160.03
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)617.60617.60617.60
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.040.080.10
LTM Dividend per Share0.310.310.31
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.040.080.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.350.390.41
WACC / Discount Rate5.15%5.15%5.15%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$74.47$82.23$87.74
Upside / Downside461.63%520.10%561.69%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)272.47290.18309.05329.13350.53373.31384.51
Payout Ratio70.47%74.37%78.28%82.19%86.09%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)192.00215.82241.92270.51301.78335.98355.67

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.15%5.15%5.15%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)203.33205.26207.18
Year 2 PV (M)214.73218.82222.95
Year 3 PV (M)226.20232.69239.31
Year 4 PV (M)237.75246.89256.30
Year 5 PV (M)249.37261.42273.92
PV of Terminal Value (M)12,295.7512,889.6413,506.25
Equity Value (M)13,427.1214,054.7114,705.91
Shares Outstanding (M)617.60617.60617.60
Fair Value$21.74$22.76$23.81
Upside / Downside63.96%71.62%79.57%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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