Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Northking Information Technology Co., Ltd. (002987.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.13 - $15.10$10.11
Multi-Stage$5.41 - $5.90$5.65
Blended Fair Value$7.88
Current Price$21.03
Upside-62.52%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS40.61%0.00%0.090.040.030.040.000.020.010.010.040.00
YoY Growth--118.78%15.86%-14.36%3,448.39%-92.86%57.27%-19.67%-67.43%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.64%0.49%0.28%0.39%0.01%0.26%0.16%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)329.52
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)156.14
(=) Cash Retained (M)173.38
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)65.9041.1924.71
Cash Retained (M)173.38173.38173.38
(-) Cash Required (M)-65.90-41.19-24.71
(=) Excess Retained (M)107.48132.19148.67
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)866.85866.85866.85
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.120.150.17
LTM Dividend per Share0.180.180.18
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.120.150.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.300.330.35
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$7.13$10.11$15.10
Upside / Downside-66.12%-51.91%-28.18%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)329.52350.94373.75398.05423.92451.48465.02
Payout Ratio47.38%55.91%64.43%72.95%81.48%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)156.14196.20240.81290.39345.40406.33430.14

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)176.69178.36180.04
Year 2 PV (M)195.29199.01202.76
Year 3 PV (M)212.07218.16224.36
Year 4 PV (M)227.15235.89244.87
Year 5 PV (M)240.65252.27264.34
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,637.953,813.673,996.11
Equity Value (M)4,689.804,897.355,112.48
Shares Outstanding (M)866.85866.85866.85
Fair Value$5.41$5.65$5.90
Upside / Downside-74.27%-73.14%-71.96%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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