Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

New Dazheng Property Group Co., Ltd. (002968.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8.06 - $15.91$11.15
Multi-Stage$11.34 - $12.43$11.88
Blended Fair Value$11.51
Current Price$11.67
Upside-1.35%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.84%0.00%0.290.310.360.260.200.240.190.130.390.06
YoY Growth---5.83%-15.31%37.62%33.06%-17.33%27.88%40.05%-65.92%541.99%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.10%3.04%1.60%1.02%0.60%1.17%1.53%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)110.59
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)65.56
(=) Cash Retained (M)45.03
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)22.1213.828.29
Cash Retained (M)45.0345.0345.03
(-) Cash Required (M)-22.12-13.82-8.29
(=) Excess Retained (M)22.9131.2136.73
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)224.99224.99224.99
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.100.140.16
LTM Dividend per Share0.290.290.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.100.140.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.390.430.45
WACC / Discount Rate6.81%6.81%6.81%
Growth Rate1.84%2.84%3.84%
Fair Value$8.06$11.15$15.91
Upside / Downside-30.92%-4.47%36.33%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)110.59113.73116.96120.28123.70127.21131.03
Payout Ratio59.28%65.43%71.57%77.71%83.86%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)65.5674.4183.7193.48103.73114.49121.20

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.81%6.81%6.81%
Growth Rate1.84%2.84%3.84%
Year 1 PV (M)68.9969.6770.35
Year 2 PV (M)71.9673.3874.81
Year 3 PV (M)74.5076.7278.98
Year 4 PV (M)76.6579.7182.85
Year 5 PV (M)78.4482.3786.45
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,181.142,290.352,403.89
Equity Value (M)2,551.692,672.192,797.34
Shares Outstanding (M)224.99224.99224.99
Fair Value$11.34$11.88$12.43
Upside / Downside-2.82%1.77%6.54%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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