Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

GRG Metrology & Test Group Co. Ltd. Class A (002967.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Consulting ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$14.57 - $32.94$21.15
Multi-Stage$11.00 - $11.99$11.49
Blended Fair Value$16.32
Current Price$18.73
Upside-12.87%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS20.29%32.78%0.220.210.190.040.120.090.120.100.060.02
YoY Growth--4.08%13.41%356.70%-67.10%41.98%-26.52%14.61%61.87%241.84%45.18%
Dividend Yield--1.03%1.24%0.92%0.22%0.36%0.40%1.77%1.54%0.95%0.28%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)402.16
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)252.02
(=) Cash Retained (M)150.14
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)80.4350.2730.16
Cash Retained (M)150.14150.14150.14
(-) Cash Required (M)-80.43-50.27-30.16
(=) Excess Retained (M)69.7099.87119.97
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)557.58557.58557.58
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.130.180.22
LTM Dividend per Share0.450.450.45
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.130.180.22
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.580.630.67
WACC / Discount Rate9.68%9.68%9.68%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$14.57$21.15$32.94
Upside / Downside-22.20%12.94%75.86%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)402.16428.30456.14485.79517.36550.99567.52
Payout Ratio62.67%68.13%73.60%79.07%84.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)252.02291.82335.72384.10437.35495.89524.96

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.68%9.68%9.68%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)263.57266.07268.57
Year 2 PV (M)273.87279.09284.36
Year 3 PV (M)283.01291.13299.41
Year 4 PV (M)291.05302.24313.76
Year 5 PV (M)298.07312.47327.41
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,725.464,953.705,190.68
Equity Value (M)6,135.036,404.706,684.18
Shares Outstanding (M)557.58557.58557.58
Fair Value$11.00$11.49$11.99
Upside / Downside-41.25%-38.67%-36.00%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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