Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Ningbo Sunrise Elc Technology Co.,Ltd (002937.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$13.83 - $42.52$22.08
Multi-Stage$9.44 - $10.30$9.86
Blended Fair Value$15.97
Current Price$19.14
Upside-16.56%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS14.22%10.41%0.370.260.180.180.120.190.160.150.100.10
YoY Growth--41.83%40.63%1.88%49.49%-36.00%15.09%11.67%43.31%1.14%-25.65%
Dividend Yield--1.88%1.17%0.72%1.20%0.91%1.43%0.74%1.65%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)154.60
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)88.57
(=) Cash Retained (M)66.04
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)30.9219.3311.60
Cash Retained (M)66.0466.0466.04
(-) Cash Required (M)-30.92-19.33-11.60
(=) Excess Retained (M)35.1246.7154.44
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)290.90290.90290.90
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.120.160.19
LTM Dividend per Share0.300.300.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.120.160.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.430.470.49
WACC / Discount Rate8.74%8.74%8.74%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$13.83$22.08$42.52
Upside / Downside-27.73%15.37%122.15%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)154.60164.65175.36186.75198.89211.82218.18
Payout Ratio57.29%63.83%70.37%76.91%83.46%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)88.57105.10123.40143.64165.99190.64201.81

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.74%8.74%8.74%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)95.7496.6597.55
Year 2 PV (M)102.41104.36106.32
Year 3 PV (M)108.59111.71114.88
Year 4 PV (M)114.31118.71123.23
Year 5 PV (M)119.60125.37131.37
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,204.592,311.082,421.63
Equity Value (M)2,745.242,867.872,995.00
Shares Outstanding (M)290.90290.90290.90
Fair Value$9.44$9.86$10.30
Upside / Downside-50.69%-48.49%-46.21%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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