Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Daodaoquan Grain and Oil Co.,Ltd. (002852.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$57.16 - $162.84$152.61
Multi-Stage$22.59 - $24.72$23.63
Blended Fair Value$88.12
Current Price$11.16
Upside689.60%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-1.87%25.77%0.310.470.140.160.100.340.120.130.110.08
YoY Growth---35.25%230.21%-11.59%65.33%-70.88%179.03%-3.60%18.77%36.50%149.54%
Dividend Yield--3.50%5.40%1.18%1.29%0.75%2.27%0.73%0.69%0.26%0.33%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)281.35
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)104.73
(=) Cash Retained (M)176.62
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)56.2735.1721.10
Cash Retained (M)176.62176.62176.62
(-) Cash Required (M)-56.27-35.17-21.10
(=) Excess Retained (M)120.35141.45155.52
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)343.60343.60343.60
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.350.410.45
LTM Dividend per Share0.300.300.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.350.410.45
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.660.720.76
WACC / Discount Rate6.71%6.71%6.71%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$57.16$152.61$162.84
Upside / Downside412.20%1,267.46%1,359.18%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)281.35299.64319.11339.86361.95385.47397.04
Payout Ratio37.22%47.78%58.33%68.89%79.44%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)104.73143.17186.15234.13287.55346.93367.26

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.71%6.71%6.71%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)132.90134.16135.42
Year 2 PV (M)160.43163.48166.57
Year 3 PV (M)187.31192.68198.16
Year 4 PV (M)213.56221.77230.22
Year 5 PV (M)239.19250.74262.74
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,826.927,156.667,499.03
Equity Value (M)7,760.318,119.518,492.14
Shares Outstanding (M)343.60343.60343.60
Fair Value$22.59$23.63$24.72
Upside / Downside102.38%111.74%121.46%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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