Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Shenzhen Cheng Chung Design Co., Ltd. (002811.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$32.41 - $86.10$80.64
Multi-Stage$43.28 - $47.78$45.49
Blended Fair Value$63.06
Current Price$12.18
Upside417.76%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS15.10%14.76%0.390.030.480.390.230.190.120.120.060.07
YoY Growth--1,463.07%-94.81%25.07%67.75%18.75%58.50%0.00%117.14%-17.11%-31.25%
Dividend Yield--4.10%0.35%6.32%4.00%2.75%2.03%1.01%1.07%0.24%0.51%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)135.91
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)80.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)55.91
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)27.1816.9910.19
Cash Retained (M)55.9155.9155.91
(-) Cash Required (M)-27.18-16.99-10.19
(=) Excess Retained (M)28.7338.9245.72
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)294.43294.43294.43
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.100.130.16
LTM Dividend per Share0.270.270.27
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.100.130.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.370.400.43
WACC / Discount Rate-0.05%-0.05%-0.05%
Growth Rate-1.17%-0.17%0.83%
Fair Value$32.41$80.64$86.10
Upside / Downside166.11%562.08%606.92%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)135.91135.67135.44135.20134.97134.73138.78
Payout Ratio58.86%65.09%71.32%77.54%83.77%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)80.0088.3196.59104.84113.07121.26128.37

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-0.05%-0.05%-0.05%
Growth Rate-1.17%-0.17%0.83%
Year 1 PV (M)87.4688.3589.23
Year 2 PV (M)94.7596.6898.63
Year 3 PV (M)101.87104.99108.18
Year 4 PV (M)108.81113.28117.89
Year 5 PV (M)115.58121.55127.76
PV of Terminal Value (M)12,235.6112,867.3113,524.83
Equity Value (M)12,744.0913,392.1614,066.52
Shares Outstanding (M)294.43294.43294.43
Fair Value$43.28$45.49$47.78
Upside / Downside255.37%273.45%292.25%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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