Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Shanghai Yaoji Technology Co., Ltd. (002605.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: LeisureSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$31.82 - $102.37$51.43
Multi-Stage$21.13 - $23.08$22.09
Blended Fair Value$36.76
Current Price$27.81
Upside32.17%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS41.21%35.09%0.890.280.320.520.430.160.130.010.100.03
YoY Growth--224.18%-15.33%-37.70%19.88%173.88%23.19%1,606.80%-92.50%261.79%-36.79%
Dividend Yield--3.27%1.16%1.23%2.76%1.82%0.53%1.17%0.07%0.62%0.17%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)505.08
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)214.92
(=) Cash Retained (M)290.16
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)101.0263.1337.88
Cash Retained (M)290.16290.16290.16
(-) Cash Required (M)-101.02-63.13-37.88
(=) Excess Retained (M)189.15227.03252.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)424.61424.61424.61
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.450.530.59
LTM Dividend per Share0.510.510.51
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.450.530.59
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.951.041.10
WACC / Discount Rate8.66%8.66%8.66%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$31.82$51.43$102.37
Upside / Downside14.41%84.92%268.11%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)505.08537.91572.87610.11649.76692.00712.76
Payout Ratio42.55%52.04%61.53%71.02%80.51%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)214.92279.93352.49433.30523.13622.80659.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.66%8.66%8.66%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)255.21257.63260.05
Year 2 PV (M)292.99298.57304.20
Year 3 PV (M)328.36337.78347.39
Year 4 PV (M)361.42375.32389.62
Year 5 PV (M)392.29411.24430.91
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,343.067,697.738,065.98
Equity Value (M)8,973.329,378.279,798.14
Shares Outstanding (M)424.61424.61424.61
Fair Value$21.13$22.09$23.08
Upside / Downside-24.01%-20.58%-17.02%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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