Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Tianjin Lisheng Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd. (002393.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$19.07 - $33.09$25.08
Multi-Stage$42.91 - $47.26$45.05
Blended Fair Value$35.06
Current Price$23.32
Upside50.36%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS17.20%0.82%0.470.210.210.070.210.210.220.230.300.23
YoY Growth--121.11%0.00%200.00%-66.86%0.59%-4.45%-1.71%-24.51%32.34%-47.70%
Dividend Yield--2.81%1.19%1.30%0.42%1.66%1.23%1.08%1.09%1.08%0.84%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)386.02
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)101.07
(=) Cash Retained (M)284.94
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)77.2048.2528.95
Cash Retained (M)284.94284.94284.94
(-) Cash Required (M)-77.20-48.25-28.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)207.74236.69255.99
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)257.77257.77257.77
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.810.920.99
LTM Dividend per Share0.390.390.39
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.810.920.99
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.201.311.39
WACC / Discount Rate5.70%5.70%5.70%
Growth Rate-0.55%0.45%1.45%
Fair Value$19.07$25.08$33.09
Upside / Downside-18.22%7.56%41.88%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)386.02387.76389.51391.27393.04394.82406.66
Payout Ratio26.18%38.95%51.71%64.47%77.24%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)101.07151.02201.42252.27303.57355.34376.16

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.70%5.70%5.70%
Growth Rate-0.55%0.45%1.45%
Year 1 PV (M)141.45142.88144.30
Year 2 PV (M)176.71180.28183.89
Year 3 PV (M)207.30213.62220.06
Year 4 PV (M)233.66243.21253.04
Year 5 PV (M)256.18269.33283.00
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,046.8510,562.2211,098.53
Equity Value (M)11,062.1711,611.5312,182.82
Shares Outstanding (M)257.77257.77257.77
Fair Value$42.91$45.05$47.26
Upside / Downside84.02%93.16%102.67%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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