Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

KCC Corporation (002380.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,420,094.05 - $4,456,428.47$3,259,026.95
Multi-Stage$1,946,494.48 - $2,127,779.65$2,035,487.17
Blended Fair Value$2,647,257.06
Current Price$384,000.00
Upside589.39%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-7.84%-2.88%8,000.198,000.197,248.186,248.156,804.4912,034.2912,034.4112,059.6412,069.5011,989.72
YoY Growth--0.00%10.38%16.01%-8.18%-43.46%0.00%-0.21%-0.08%0.67%11.84%
Dividend Yield--3.17%3.11%3.26%1.83%2.87%9.29%3.85%3.49%3.41%2.88%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,177,191.38
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)73,541.71
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,103,649.67
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)235,438.28147,148.9288,289.35
Cash Retained (M)1,103,649.671,103,649.671,103,649.67
(-) Cash Required (M)-235,438.28-147,148.92-88,289.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)868,211.40956,500.751,015,360.32
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)7.357.357.35
(=) Excess Retained per Share118,059.75130,065.37138,069.12
LTM Dividend per Share10,000.2310,000.2310,000.23
(+) Excess Retained per Share118,059.75130,065.37138,069.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend128,059.98140,065.61148,069.35
WACC / Discount Rate10.51%10.51%10.51%
Growth Rate4.95%5.95%6.95%
Fair Value$2,420,094.05$3,259,026.95$4,456,428.47
Upside / Downside530.23%748.70%1,060.53%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,177,191.381,247,271.541,321,523.691,400,196.191,483,552.201,571,870.531,619,026.64
Payout Ratio6.25%23.00%39.75%56.50%73.25%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)73,541.71286,844.69525,283.61791,095.271,086,693.731,414,683.471,497,599.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.51%10.51%10.51%
Growth Rate4.95%5.95%6.95%
Year 1 PV (M)257,122.12259,572.00262,021.87
Year 2 PV (M)422,064.77430,146.00438,303.87
Year 3 PV (M)569,779.30586,221.65602,977.31
Year 4 PV (M)701,580.76728,704.16756,606.51
Year 5 PV (M)818,695.53858,448.79899,731.50
PV of Terminal Value (M)11,545,277.9512,105,880.0212,688,050.48
Equity Value (M)14,314,520.4414,968,972.6215,647,691.55
Shares Outstanding (M)7.357.357.35
Fair Value$1,946,494.48$2,035,487.17$2,127,779.65
Upside / Downside406.90%430.07%454.11%

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