Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Luolai Lifestyle Technology Co., Ltd. (002293.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$15.89 - $50.10$25.54
Multi-Stage$17.70 - $19.37$18.52
Blended Fair Value$22.03
Current Price$8.04
Upside174.04%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.15%17.95%0.620.630.611.200.510.360.340.200.180.34
YoY Growth---1.70%1.89%-48.95%136.52%40.28%7.81%66.94%12.32%-47.10%187.20%
Dividend Yield--7.60%6.33%4.99%9.29%3.76%4.07%2.87%1.47%1.51%2.74%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)511.39
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)503.30
(=) Cash Retained (M)8.09
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)102.2863.9238.35
Cash Retained (M)8.098.098.09
(-) Cash Required (M)-102.28-63.92-38.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)-94.18-55.83-30.26
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)831.74831.74831.74
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.11-0.07-0.04
LTM Dividend per Share0.610.610.61
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.11-0.07-0.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.490.540.57
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate3.14%4.14%5.14%
Fair Value$15.89$25.54$50.10
Upside / Downside97.59%217.68%523.13%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)511.39532.57554.63577.61601.53626.45645.24
Payout Ratio98.42%96.73%95.05%93.37%91.68%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)503.30515.18527.18539.29551.51563.80596.85

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate3.14%4.14%5.14%
Year 1 PV (M)479.83484.48489.14
Year 2 PV (M)457.32466.23475.23
Year 3 PV (M)435.73448.53461.57
Year 4 PV (M)415.02431.36448.16
Year 5 PV (M)395.17414.70435.00
PV of Terminal Value (M)12,541.3813,161.2513,805.39
Equity Value (M)14,724.4615,406.5516,114.49
Shares Outstanding (M)831.74831.74831.74
Fair Value$17.70$18.52$19.37
Upside / Downside120.19%130.39%140.98%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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