Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Joyoung Co.,Ltd (002242.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Furnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.77 - $1.02$0.90
Multi-Stage$4.96 - $5.53$5.24
Blended Fair Value$3.07
Current Price$9.37
Upside-67.27%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-35.14%-11.32%0.150.311.541.030.601.340.720.620.720.62
YoY Growth---50.00%-80.02%49.34%72.40%-55.39%85.46%16.78%-14.29%16.64%21.07%
Dividend Yield--1.53%2.85%8.59%6.31%1.94%4.76%2.88%3.43%3.93%3.40%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)147.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)114.45
(=) Cash Retained (M)33.42
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)29.5718.4811.09
Cash Retained (M)33.4233.4233.42
(-) Cash Required (M)-29.57-18.48-11.09
(=) Excess Retained (M)3.8514.9422.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)744.39744.39744.39
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.010.020.03
LTM Dividend per Share0.150.150.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.010.020.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.160.170.18
WACC / Discount Rate4.65%4.65%4.65%
Growth Rate-13.32%-12.32%-11.32%
Fair Value$0.77$0.90$1.02
Upside / Downside-91.82%-90.42%-89.11%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)147.87129.66113.6899.6887.4076.6378.93
Payout Ratio77.40%79.92%82.44%84.96%87.48%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)114.45103.6293.7284.6976.4668.9773.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.65%4.65%4.65%
Growth Rate-13.32%-12.32%-11.32%
Year 1 PV (M)97.8899.01100.14
Year 2 PV (M)83.6385.5787.54
Year 3 PV (M)71.3973.8976.44
Year 4 PV (M)60.8863.7466.70
Year 5 PV (M)51.8854.9458.15
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,323.873,520.083,725.44
Equity Value (M)3,689.543,897.244,114.41
Shares Outstanding (M)744.39744.39744.39
Fair Value$4.96$5.24$5.53
Upside / Downside-47.10%-44.12%-41.01%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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