Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Hunan Gold Corporation Limited (002155.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$16.51 - $35.15$23.47
Multi-Stage$12.12 - $13.23$12.66
Blended Fair Value$18.06
Current Price$22.44
Upside-19.50%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.11%3.10%0.110.090.060.010.050.070.050.090.040.04
YoY Growth--26.67%39.30%376.71%-70.27%-38.18%40.56%-37.98%109.77%2.16%-53.03%
Dividend Yield--0.65%0.86%0.56%0.17%0.75%1.23%0.79%1.24%0.46%0.58%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,208.52
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)277.55
(=) Cash Retained (M)930.97
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)241.70151.0690.64
Cash Retained (M)930.97930.97930.97
(-) Cash Required (M)-241.70-151.06-90.64
(=) Excess Retained (M)689.26779.90840.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,380.381,380.381,380.38
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.500.560.61
LTM Dividend per Share0.200.200.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.500.560.61
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.700.770.81
WACC / Discount Rate9.98%9.98%9.98%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$16.51$23.47$35.15
Upside / Downside-26.44%4.57%56.64%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,208.521,287.071,370.731,459.831,554.721,655.771,705.45
Payout Ratio22.97%36.37%49.78%63.19%76.59%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)277.55468.15682.35922.411,190.811,490.201,577.54

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.98%9.98%9.98%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)421.68425.68429.67
Year 2 PV (M)553.62564.16574.81
Year 3 PV (M)674.11693.46713.18
Year 4 PV (M)783.88814.03845.03
Year 5 PV (M)883.60926.28970.59
PV of Terminal Value (M)13,407.3414,054.9214,727.29
Equity Value (M)16,724.2317,478.5318,260.57
Shares Outstanding (M)1,380.381,380.381,380.38
Fair Value$12.12$12.66$13.23
Upside / Downside-46.01%-43.57%-41.05%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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