Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

YONFER Agricultural Technology Co., Ltd. (000902.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural InputsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$32.02 - $98.25$51.09
Multi-Stage$21.14 - $23.10$22.10
Blended Fair Value$36.60
Current Price$13.97
Upside161.97%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.74%68.52%0.320.210.200.200.200.200.200.150.150.02
YoY Growth--53.17%3.97%2.64%-1.95%-0.70%-1.22%33.33%-1.06%718.13%988.88%
Dividend Yield--2.53%1.93%1.88%1.14%1.12%2.48%1.84%1.57%1.70%0.14%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,575.74
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)410.69
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,165.05
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)315.15196.97118.18
Cash Retained (M)1,165.051,165.051,165.05
(-) Cash Required (M)-315.15-196.97-118.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)849.91968.091,046.87
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,279.011,279.011,279.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.660.760.82
LTM Dividend per Share0.320.320.32
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.660.760.82
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.991.081.14
WACC / Discount Rate8.75%8.75%8.75%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$32.02$51.09$98.25
Upside / Downside129.24%265.75%603.27%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,575.741,678.161,787.241,903.412,027.142,158.902,223.67
Payout Ratio26.06%38.85%51.64%64.43%77.21%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)410.69651.97922.891,226.281,565.201,943.012,056.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.75%8.75%8.75%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)593.90599.53605.16
Year 2 PV (M)765.81780.40795.12
Year 3 PV (M)926.93953.54980.65
Year 4 PV (M)1,077.741,119.191,161.82
Year 5 PV (M)1,218.721,277.581,338.70
PV of Terminal Value (M)22,449.3323,533.6424,659.45
Equity Value (M)27,032.4328,263.8829,540.90
Shares Outstanding (M)1,279.011,279.011,279.01
Fair Value$21.14$22.10$23.10
Upside / Downside51.29%58.18%65.33%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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